DCF Tool

ENSG

Ensign Group Inc – General Medical and Surgical Hospitals
skilled nursing/assisted living
Analysis Results
Intrinsic Value $239.38
Latest Price $94.15
Relative Value 61% undervalued
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Cash Flow (Millions)
Analysis Parameters
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Analysis Details
Growth Rate Projection

An exponential growth model was fit to the past cash flow data, giving more weight to more recent years. This model determined a growth rate estimate of 30.0%.

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The calculated WACC is 7.3%. This value is used as the default discount rate.

Value of Future Flows

Assuming a growth rate of 30.0%, the cash flows for the next 5 years are projected.

The present value of each year's flow is adjusted to present value using the discount rate.

Year Future flow (million) Present value (million)
2023 311 290
2024 405 352
2025 526 426
2026 684 516
2027 889 625
Terminal Value

Assuming a growth rate after the projection years of 2.0%, the terminal value of the company would be 17100 million. This corresponds to a present value of 11200 million.

Intrinsic Value Per Share

The total present value of the projected cash flows is 2210 million. Adding in the terminal value gives a total present value of 13500 million.

There are presently 56.2 million outstanding shares, so the intrinsic value per share is 239.38.

Financial Statements

The following data was to determine the past cash flows.

Current Assets 781,125,000
Current Cash 331,711,000
Current Liabilities 582,072,000
Current Debt 3,883,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) -128,775,000
Change in NCWC 26,788,000
EBIT 296,825,000
Tax Provision 64,437,000
Depreciation and Amortization 62,355,000
Capital Expenditure -87,545,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 232,261,670
Current Assets 639,709,000
Current Cash 275,964,000
Current Liabilities 523,068,000
Current Debt 3,760,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) -155,563,000
Change in NCWC 70,931,000
EBIT 260,465,000
Tax Provision 60,279,000
Depreciation and Amortization 55,985,000
Capital Expenditure -69,550,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 256,977,022
Current Assets 582,956,000
Current Cash 250,011,000
Current Liabilities 562,399,000
Current Debt 2,960,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) -226,494,000
Change in NCWC -220,175,000
EBIT 223,155,000
Tax Provision 46,242,000
Depreciation and Amortization 54,571,000
Capital Expenditure -50,326,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -40,196,180
Current Assets 411,081,000
Current Cash 76,929,000
Current Liabilities 343,173,000
Current Debt 2,702,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) -6,319,000
Change in NCWC -55,504,000
EBIT 129,180,000
Tax Provision 23,954,000
Depreciation and Amortization 51,054,000
Capital Expenditure -71,541,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 26,551,678
Current Assets 348,072,000
Current Cash 39,765,000
Current Liabilities 269,227,000
Current Debt 10,105,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 49,185,000
Change in NCWC -47,580,000
EBIT 126,824,000
Tax Provision 22,841,000
Depreciation and Amortization 47,344,000
Capital Expenditure -54,948,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 46,531,114
Current Assets 368,076,000
Current Cash 55,429,000
Current Liabilities 225,821,000
Current Debt 9,939,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 96,765,000
Change in NCWC 35,958,000
EBIT 94,606,000
Tax Provision 28,445,000
Depreciation and Amortization 44,472,000
Capital Expenditure -57,361,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 78,830,523
Current Assets 333,862,000
Current Cash 69,256,000
Current Liabilities 211,928,000
Current Debt 8,129,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 60,807,000
Change in NCWC -11,344,000
EBIT 80,622,000
Tax Provision 32,975,000
Depreciation and Amortization 38,682,000
Capital Expenditure -186,634,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -109,652,471
Current Assets 294,970,000
Current Cash 43,573,000
Current Liabilities 179,866,000
Current Debt 620,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 72,151,000
Change in NCWC 45,299,000
EBIT 93,082,000
Tax Provision 35,182,000
Depreciation and Amortization 28,111,000
Capital Expenditure -77,768,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 52,776,174
Current Assets 213,642,000
Current Cash 56,468,000
Current Liabilities 130,433,000
Current Debt 111,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 26,852,000
Change in NCWC -7,833,000
EBIT 72,924,000
Tax Provision 26,801,000
Depreciation and Amortization 26,430,000
Capital Expenditure -61,631,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -2,392,318
Current Assets 210,996,000
Current Cash 71,266,000
Current Liabilities 112,456,000
Current Debt 7,411,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 34,685,000
Change in NCWC 27,364,000
EBIT 90,942,000
Tax Provision 20,003,000
Depreciation and Amortization 33,942,000
Capital Expenditure -29,759,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 82,649,468
Current Assets 167,599,000
Current Cash 46,118,000
Current Liabilities 121,347,000
Current Debt 7,187,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 7,321,000
Change in NCWC -9,661,000
EBIT 91,047,000
Tax Provision 24,265,000
Depreciation and Amortization 28,464,000
Capital Expenditure -50,114,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 25,255,712

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