DCF Tool

GOOS

Canada Goose Holdings Inc – All Other Miscellaneous Textile Product Mills
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Analysis Results
Intrinsic Value $104.31
Latest Price $16.82
Relative Value 84% undervalued
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Cash Flow (Millions)
Analysis Parameters
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Analysis Details
Growth Rate Projection

An exponential growth model was fit to the past cash flow data, giving more weight to more recent years. This model determined a growth rate estimate of 21.2%.

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The calculated WACC is 8.5%. This value is used as the default discount rate.

Value of Future Flows

Assuming a growth rate of 21.2%, the cash flows for the next 5 years are projected.

The present value of each year's flow is adjusted to present value using the discount rate.

Year Future flow (million) Present value (million)
2024 207 190
2025 250 213
2026 304 238
2027 368 266
2028 446 297
Terminal Value

Assuming a growth rate after the projection years of 2.0%, the terminal value of the company would be 7030 million. This corresponds to a present value of 4320 million.

Intrinsic Value Per Share

The total present value of the projected cash flows is 1200 million. Adding in the terminal value gives a total present value of 5520 million.

There are presently 52.9 million outstanding shares, so the intrinsic value per share is 104.31.

Financial Statements

The following data was to determine the past cash flows.

Current Assets 638,060,391
Current Cash 211,775,141
Current Liabilities 260,487,119
Current Debt 76,652,991
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 242,451,121
Change in NCWC 38,503,122
EBIT 100,158,923
Tax Provision 18,183,834
Depreciation and Amortization 80,644,565
Capital Expenditure -35,037,143
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 157,917,493
Current Assets 608,729,677
Current Cash 229,740,952
Current Liabilities 224,789,983
Current Debt 49,749,257
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 203,947,998
Change in NCWC 43,710,139
EBIT 125,131,759
Tax Provision 18,446,353
Depreciation and Amortization 76,500,463
Capital Expenditure -28,747,564
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 192,036,228
Current Assets 711,119,920
Current Cash 378,909,811
Current Liabilities 207,809,712
Current Debt 35,837,462
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 160,237,859
Change in NCWC -73,013,468
EBIT 92,685,827
Tax Provision 12,527,254
Depreciation and Amortization 67,076,313
Capital Expenditure -25,371,655
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 44,348,691
Current Assets 373,801,119
Current Cash 22,604,913
Current Liabilities 143,544,764
Current Debt 25,599,885
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 233,251,328
Change in NCWC 92,422,400
EBIT 136,984,347
Tax Provision 8,557,064
Depreciation and Amortization 44,995,899
Capital Expenditure -44,425,428
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 219,935,605
Current Assets 309,524,005
Current Cash 66,369,377
Current Liabilities 102,325,699
Current Debt 0
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 140,828,928
Change in NCWC 84,962,066
EBIT 147,346,011
Tax Provision 29,139,602
Depreciation and Amortization 17,004,343
Capital Expenditure -36,930,139
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 180,975,378
Current Assets 233,261,565
Current Cash 73,853,102
Current Liabilities 103,541,600
Current Debt 0
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 55,866,861
Change in NCWC -10,829,689
EBIT 107,054,060
Tax Provision 22,619,401
Depreciation and Amortization 11,020,225
Capital Expenditure -26,195,414
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 56,102,099
Current Assets 121,941,071
Current Cash 7,230,265
Current Liabilities 48,014,254
Current Debt 0
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 66,696,550
Change in NCWC -9,354,127
EBIT 30,258,341
Tax Provision 6,649,035
Depreciation and Amortization 6,365,891
Capital Expenditure -11,802,411
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 6,649,776

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