DCF Tool

NVMI

Nova Ltd – Optical Instrument and Lens Manufacturing
nova measuring instruments ltd. is a leading provider of advanced, high-throughput metrology solutions for semiconductor manufacturing worldwide. used by over 80% of the largest integrated-circuit manufacturers, nova’s solutions deliver the high-volume complex measurements required for effective process control. nova offers a selection of integrated and stand-alone metrology platforms, which are complimented by the powerful novamars® modeling engine. this flexible offering enables nova to partner with semiconductor manufacturers throughout the entire product lifecycle; from application development to high-volume production. featuring a unique combination of spectroscopic reflectrometry and scatterometry, nova’s metrology solutions measure a wide variety of features and parameters including cd, trench depth, photoresist height, thickness and shape of complex layer stacks. with nova, you get the tight wafer-to-wafer and within-wafer control necessary to develop and produce advance
Analysis Results
Intrinsic Value $1,458.27
Latest Price $128.08
Relative Value 91% undervalued
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Cash Flow (Billions)
Analysis Parameters
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Analysis Details
Growth Rate Projection

An exponential growth model was fit to the past cash flow data, giving more weight to more recent years. This model determined a growth rate estimate of 56.9%.

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The calculated WACC is 3.9%. This value is used as the default discount rate.

Value of Future Flows

Assuming a growth rate of 56.9%, the cash flows for the next 5 years are projected.

The present value of each year's flow is adjusted to present value using the discount rate.

Year Future flow (billion) Present value (billion)
2023 0.262 0.252
2024 0.41 0.38
2025 0.644 0.573
2026 1.01 0.865
2027 1.58 1.31
Terminal Value

Assuming the company was sold after the projection period at an exit multiple of 30, the terminal value of the company would be 47.5 billion. This corresponds to a present value of 37.7 billion.

Intrinsic Value Per Share

The total present value of the projected cash flows is 3.38 billion. Adding in the terminal value gives a total present value of 41.1 billion.

There are presently 28.2 million outstanding shares, so the intrinsic value per share is 1458.27.

Financial Statements

The following data was to determine the past cash flows.

Current Assets 612,946,000
Current Cash 373,499,000
Current Liabilities 134,068,000
Current Debt 0
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 105,379,000
Change in NCWC 53,919,000
EBIT 149,931,000
Tax Provision 18,196,000
Depreciation and Amortization 14,654,000
Capital Expenditure -21,314,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 179,967,844
Current Assets 566,516,000
Current Cash 410,163,000
Current Liabilities 287,930,000
Current Debt 183,037,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 51,460,000
Change in NCWC -22,436,000
EBIT 112,386,000
Tax Provision 16,152,000
Depreciation and Amortization 8,933,000
Capital Expenditure -4,816,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 77,451,816
Current Assets 558,701,000
Current Cash 423,871,000
Current Liabilities 60,934,000
Current Debt 0
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 73,896,000
Change in NCWC 4,195,000
EBIT 55,570,000
Tax Provision 8,589,000
Depreciation and Amortization 8,378,000
Capital Expenditure -6,443,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 53,251,778
Current Assets 302,931,000
Current Cash 186,281,000
Current Liabilities 46,949,000
Current Debt 0
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 69,701,000
Change in NCWC 12,030,000
EBIT 36,408,000
Tax Provision 4,315,000
Depreciation and Amortization 10,398,000
Capital Expenditure -21,269,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 33,588,361
Current Assets 281,577,000
Current Cash 175,828,000
Current Liabilities 48,078,000
Current Debt 0
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 57,671,000
Change in NCWC 26,976,000
EBIT 60,442,000
Tax Provision 9,051,000
Depreciation and Amortization 7,684,000
Capital Expenditure -3,678,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 82,798,821
Current Assets 231,908,000
Current Cash 149,087,000
Current Liabilities 52,126,000
Current Debt 0
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 30,695,000
Change in NCWC -6,995,000
EBIT 57,819,000
Tax Provision 13,636,000
Depreciation and Amortization 6,179,000
Capital Expenditure -6,295,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 37,588,441
Current Assets 167,676,000
Current Cash 90,952,000
Current Liabilities 39,034,000
Current Debt 0
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 37,690,000
Change in NCWC 21,902,000
EBIT 23,041,000
Tax Provision 1,738,000
Depreciation and Amortization 6,594,000
Capital Expenditure -3,133,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 44,885,702
Current Assets 149,977,000
Current Cash 97,031,000
Current Liabilities 37,158,000
Current Debt 0
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 15,788,000
Change in NCWC 8,241,000
EBIT 11,581,000
Tax Provision -3,501,000
Depreciation and Amortization 9,620,000
Capital Expenditure -4,373,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 25,069,000
Current Assets 157,676,000
Current Cash 122,933,000
Current Liabilities 27,196,000
Current Debt 0
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 7,547,000
Change in NCWC -12,110,000
EBIT 16,911,000
Tax Provision -1,178,000
Depreciation and Amortization 3,951,000
Capital Expenditure -5,234,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 3,518,000
Current Assets 149,063,000
Current Cash 98,939,000
Current Liabilities 30,467,000
Current Debt 0
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 19,657,000
Change in NCWC 4,107,000
EBIT 12,333,000
Tax Provision 2,511,000
Depreciation and Amortization 3,522,000
Capital Expenditure -4,119,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 13,465,588
Current Assets 130,590,000
Current Cash 91,002,000
Current Liabilities 24,038,000
Current Debt 0
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 15,550,000
Change in NCWC 7,426,000
EBIT 10,584,000
Tax Provision 124,000
Depreciation and Amortization 2,783,000
Capital Expenditure -3,660,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 17,023,192

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