DCF Tool


Packaging Corp Of America – Corrugated and Solid Fiber Box Manufacturing
packaging corporation of america (pca) is the fourth largest producer of containerboard and corrugated packaging products in the united states. in 2013 pca produced 2.7 million tons of containerboard and shipped 38.4 billion square feet of corrugated products. in 2013 pca acquired boise, inc., growing to $5.5 billion in sales and 13,600 employees. pca operates eight mills and a total of 94 converting operations/locations. pca is the third largest producer of uncoated freesheet paper in north america. pca combines great products with a creative and knowledgeable total-service team to provide ideas and solutions for any packaging need: "when you choose packaging corporation of america, you work with people who do the right things for each other and for our customers. we believe in utilizing the power of strong collaborative relationships, bound by the trust we have earned, to deliver innovative packaging solutions and an outstanding service experience." pca is a publically traded c
Analysis Results
Intrinsic Value $200.02
Latest Price $150.80
Relative Value 25% undervalued
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Cash Flow (Billions)
Analysis Parameters
New Ticker
Analysis Details
Growth Rate Projection

An exponential growth model was fit to the past cash flow data, giving more weight to more recent years. This model determined a growth rate estimate of 4.8%.

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The calculated WACC is 7.3%. This value is used as the default discount rate.

Value of Future Flows

Assuming a growth rate of 4.8%, the cash flows for the next 5 years are projected.

The present value of each year's flow is adjusted to present value using the discount rate.

Year Future flow (billion) Present value (billion)
2023 0.913 0.851
2024 0.956 0.831
2025 1.0 0.811
2026 1.05 0.792
2027 1.1 0.773
Terminal Value

Assuming a growth rate after the projection years of 2.0%, the terminal value of the company would be 21.2 billion. This corresponds to a present value of 13.9 billion.

Intrinsic Value Per Share

The total present value of the projected cash flows is 4.06 billion. Adding in the terminal value gives a total present value of 18.0 billion.

There are presently 89.9 million outstanding shares, so the intrinsic value per share is 200.02.

Financial Statements

The following data was to determine the past cash flows.

Current Assets 2,508,300,000
Current Cash 405,200,000
Current Liabilities 875,500,000
Current Debt 1,900,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 1,229,500,000
Change in NCWC 84,700,000
EBIT 1,482,000,000
Tax Provision 335,000,000
Depreciation and Amortization 456,800,000
Capital Expenditure -830,400,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 829,332,415
Current Assets 2,732,700,000
Current Cash 704,800,000
Current Liabilities 884,800,000
Current Debt 1,700,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 1,144,800,000
Change in NCWC 255,700,000
EBIT 1,296,200,000
Tax Provision 267,600,000
Depreciation and Amortization 417,500,000
Capital Expenditure -606,900,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 1,049,644,295
Current Assets 2,750,300,000
Current Cash 1,080,200,000
Current Liabilities 782,600,000
Current Debt 1,600,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 889,100,000
Change in NCWC -99,600,000
EBIT 829,800,000
Tax Provision 171,700,000
Depreciation and Amortization 409,900,000
Capital Expenditure -427,600,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 487,311,664
Current Assets 2,478,400,000
Current Cash 767,400,000
Current Liabilities 723,800,000
Current Debt 1,500,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 988,700,000
Change in NCWC -72,700,000
EBIT 1,086,400,000
Tax Provision 220,600,000
Depreciation and Amortization 387,500,000
Capital Expenditure -403,300,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 736,547,938
Current Assets 2,115,100,000
Current Cash 361,500,000
Current Liabilities 693,600,000
Current Debt 1,400,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 1,061,400,000
Change in NCWC 44,600,000
EBIT 1,108,900,000
Tax Provision 232,500,000
Depreciation and Amortization 410,900,000
Capital Expenditure -555,900,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 742,843,894
Current Assets 1,915,100,000
Current Cash 216,900,000
Current Liabilities 832,700,000
Current Debt 151,300,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 1,016,800,000
Change in NCWC 158,100,000
EBIT 949,600,000
Tax Provision 160,000,000
Depreciation and Amortization 391,400,000
Capital Expenditure -350,800,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 964,935,288
Current Assets 1,696,300,000
Current Cash 239,300,000
Current Liabilities 625,400,000
Current Debt 27,100,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 858,700,000
Change in NCWC 42,600,000
EBIT 804,600,000
Tax Provision 238,900,000
Depreciation and Amortization 358,000,000
Capital Expenditure -274,300,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 651,714,901
Current Assets 1,554,500,000
Current Cash 184,200,000
Current Liabilities 561,900,000
Current Debt 7,700,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 816,100,000
Change in NCWC -34,200,000
EBIT 756,700,000
Tax Provision 227,700,000
Depreciation and Amortization 364,300,000
Capital Expenditure -314,500,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 513,006,410
Current Assets 1,578,600,000
Current Cash 124,900,000
Current Liabilities 611,000,000
Current Debt 7,600,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 850,300,000
Change in NCWC 174,565,000
EBIT 760,000,000
Tax Provision 221,700,000
Depreciation and Amortization 390,800,000
Capital Expenditure -420,200,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 630,882,076
Current Assets 1,487,204,000
Current Cash 190,960,000
Current Liabilities 660,539,000
Current Debt 40,030,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 675,735,000
Change in NCWC 189,977,000
EBIT 532,585,000
Tax Provision -20,951,000
Depreciation and Amortization 217,918,000
Capital Expenditure -234,422,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 706,058,000
Current Assets 937,033,000
Current Cash 207,393,000
Current Liabilities 259,846,000
Current Debt 15,964,000
Non-Cash Working Capital (NCWC) 485,758,000
Change in NCWC 190,790,000
EBIT 347,959,000
Tax Provision 216,739,000
Depreciation and Amortization 171,280,000
Capital Expenditure -129,594,000
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 382,262,612

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